• Preface
• Part I. ONE. International Rules of the Monetary Game; TWO. Dollar Dominance in Trade and Finance; SYMPOSIUM ON Capital Flows, the IMF's Institutional View and Alternatives; Introduction; THREE. Managing Capital Flows: Toward a Policy Maker's Vade Mecum; FOUR. The IMF's Institutional View: A Critique; FIVE. Capital Flows, the IMF's Institutional View, and an Alternative
• PART II. SIX. Monetary Policy with a Layered Payment System; SEVEN. Liquidity Regulation and the Size of the Fed's Balance Sheet; SYMPOSIUM ON The Future of Central Bank Balance Sheets; Introduction. EIGHT. Normalizing the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet and Policy Implementation; NINE. Get Up Off the Floor; TEN. The Fed's Balance Sheet Strategy: What Now?; ELEVEN. Should the Fed 'Stay Big' or 'Slim Down'?
• PART III. TWELVE. Anchoring Inflation Expectations in a Low R-star World; SYMPOSIUM ON Monetary Policy and Reform in Practice; Introduction; THIRTEEN. Monetary Policy and Reform in Practice; FOURTEEN. US Economic Conditions and Monetary Policy Considerations; FIFTEEN. Remarks; About the Contributors and Discussants; About the Hoover Institution's Working Group on Economic Policy; Index.

Drawing from their 2018 conference, the Hoover Institution brings together leading academics and monetary policy makers to share ideas about the practical issues facing central banks today. The expert contributors discuss U.S. monetary policy at individual central banks and reform of the international monetary and financial system-issues very much related because of the large effect of balance sheet operations on exchange rates and capital flows. The discussion is broken down into seven key areas: 1) International Rules of the Monetary Game2) Banking, Trade and the Making of the Dominant Currency3) Capital Flows, the IMF's Institutional View and Alternatives4) Payments, Credit and Asset Prices5) Financial Stability, Regulations and the Balance Sheet6) The Future of the Central Bank Balance Sheet7) Monetary Policy and Reform in Practice.With in-depth discussions of the volatility of capital flows and exchange rates, and the use of balance sheet policy by central banks, they examine relevant research developments and debate policy options.
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• Acknowledgements
• Preface to the 2019 edition
• Introduction
• Gambling with other people's money
• Did creditors expect to get rescued?
• What about equity holders?
• Heads : they win a ridiculously enormous amount : tails : they win just an enormous amount
• How creditor rescue and housing policy combined with regulation to blow up the housing market
• Fannie and Freddie
• Fannie and Freddie : cause or effect?
• Commercial banks and investment banks
• Picking up nickels
• Basel : faulty
• Where do we go from here?
• Notes
• Index
• About the author.

Distinguished economist Michael D. Bordo argues for the importance of monetary stability and monetary rules, offering theoretical, empirical, and historical perspectives to support his case. He shows how the pursuit of stable monetary policy guided by central banks following rule-like behavior produces low and stable inflation, stable real performance, and encourages financial stability. In contrast, he explains how the failure to adhere to rules that produce monetary stability will inevitably produce the dire consequences of real, nominal, and financial instability. Bordo examines theoretical perspectives in monetary theory on the case for stable money and the importance of monetary rules. The author also looks at the historical and empirical record of economic performance (both inflation and real output) across policy regimes. He examines the performance of the Federal Reserve in its pursuit of discretionary monetary policy, and he reviews the history of monetary policy during the Great Depression.
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Since the end of the Great Recession in 2009 the central banks of the advanced countries have taken unprecedented actions to reflate and stimulate their economies. There have been significant differences in the timing and pace of these actions. These independent monetary policy actions have had significant spillover effects on the economies and monetary policy strategies of other advanced countries. In addition the monetary policy actions and interventions of the advanced countries have had a significant impact on the emerging market economies leading to the charge of 'currency wars.' The perceived negative consequences of spillovers from the actions of national central banks has led to calls for international monetary policy coordination. The arguments for coordination based on game theory are the same today as back in the 1980s, which led to accords which required that participant countries follow policies to improve global welfare at the expense of domestic fundamentals. This led to disastrous consequences. An alternative approach to the international spillovers of national monetary policy actions is to view them as deviations from rules based monetary policy. In this view a return to rules based monetary policy and a rolling back of the "" global great deviation"" by each country's central bank would lead to a beneficial policy outcome without the need for explicit policy coordination. In this book we report the results from a recent conference which brought together academics, market participants, and policy makers to focus on these issues. The consensus of much of the conference was on the need for a classic rules based reform of the international monetary system.
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• Foreword / Esther L. George
• Introduction / Troy Davig
• The moderators : Peter Blair Henry, Kristin J. Forbes
• Opening remarks / Janet L. Yellen
• Pass-through efficiency in the Fed's new monetary policy setting / Darrell Duffie, Arvind Krishnamurthy ; Commentary / Minouche Shafik
• The case for unencumbering interest rate policy at the zero bound / Marvin Goodfriend ; Commentary / Marianne Nessén
• Evaluating monetary policy operational frameworks / Ulrich Bindseil ; Commentary / Jean-Pierre Danthine ; Commentary / Simon Potter
• Luncheon address : Fiscal policy, monetary policy and central bank independence / Christopher A. Sims
• The Federal Reserve's balance sheet as a financial-stability tool / Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein ; Commentary / Randall S. Kroszner
• Funding quantitative easing to target inflation / Ricardo Reis ; Commentary / Laura L. Veldkamp
• Overview panel : The case for emerging market economies / Agustín Carstens
• The ECB's operational framework in post-crisis times / Benoît Coeuré
• Re-anchoring inflation expectations via 'quantitative and qualitative monetary easing with a negative interest rate' / Haruhiko Kuroda.

• Foreword / Esther L. George
• Introduction / Jonathan L. Willis
• The moderators
• James Poterba, Erica L. Groshen
• Customer markets and financial frictions: implications for inflation dynamics / Simon Gilchrist, Egon Zakrajšek
• Commentary / Peter J. Klenow
• The international price system / Gita Gopinath
• Commentary / Charles Engel
• The impact of international spillovers on inflation dynamics and independent monetary policy: the Swiss experience / Thomas J. Jordan
• Inflation dynamics: lessons from past debates for current policy / Athanasios Orphanides
• Inflation dynamics in Latin America: a comparison with global trends and implications for monetary policy / Rodrigo Vergara
• Luncheon address / David Daokui Li
• The myth of normal: the bumpy story of inflation and monetary policy / Jon Faust, Eric M. Leeper
• Commentary / Takatoshi Ito
• Inflation during and after the zero lower bound / S. Borağan Aruoba, Frank Schorfheide
• Commentary / Lucrezia Reichlin
• Inflation in a globalized world / Mark Carney
• Understanding inflation dynamics and monetary policy / Vítor Constâncio
• U.S. inflation developments / Stanley Fischer
• The political economy of inflation dynamics / Raghuram Rajan
• General discussion
• The participants.

• Foreword / Esther L. George
• Introduction / Troy Davig
• The routes into and out of the zero lower bound / Robert E. Hall
• Commentary / Hyun song Shin
• General discussion: The ins and outs of LSAPS / Arvind Krishnamurthy, Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
• Commentary / Anil K. Kashyap
• General discussion: Monetary policy options and tools / Agustin Carstens
• The unconventional Chinese monetary policy in the global context / David Daokui Li
• Convergence and divergence in government bond markets: implications for monetary policy / Frank R. Smets
• General discussion
• Luncheon address: The global calculus of unconventional monetary policies / Christine Lagarde
• Luncheon discussion: Global liquidity: public and private -- / Jean-Pierre Landau
• Commentary / Claudio Borio
• General discussion: Dilemma not trilemma: the global financial cycle and monetary policy independence / Hélène Rey
• Commentary / Terrence J. Checki
• General discussion: Global aspects of unconventional monetary policies / Charles R. Bean
• Japan's unconventional monetary policy and initiatives toward ensuring stability of the global financial system / Haruhiko Kuroda
• Global dimensions of unconventional monetary policy: an eme perspective / Luiz A. Pereira Da Silva
• General discussion.

• Preface by Richard W. Fisher Introduction by Evan F. Koenig, Robert Leeson, and George A. Kahn I. TAYLOR\u2019S APPROACH TO MONETARY THEORY AND POLICY
• 1. Monetary Policy Rules: from Adam Smith to John Taylor by Pier Francesco Asso, Robert Leeson
• 2. The Taylor Rule and the Practice of Central Banking by George A. Kahn
• 3. A Comparison with Milton Friedman by Edward Nelson
• 4. Two Basic Principles by Robert E. Lucas II. FROM THE GREAT MODERATION TO THE GREAT DEVIATION
• 5. The Great Moderation by Ben S. Bernanke
• 6. The Great Deviation by John B. Taylor
• 7. It\u2019s Not So Simple by Donald L. Kohn III. NEW CHALLENGES IN THE DECADE AHEAD
• 8. Forecast Targeting as a Monetary Policy Strategy: Policy Rules in Practice by Michael Woodford
• 9. The Dual Nature of Forecast Targeting and Instrument Rules by John B. Taylor
• 10. Evaluating Monetary Policy by Lars E. O. Svensson IV. TAYLOR\u2019S INFLUENCE ON POLICYMAKING: FIRSTHAND ACCOUNTS
• 11. Overview by Ben S. Bernanke
• 12. The View from Inside the Fed by Janet Yellen
• 13. The View from Inside the European Central Bank by Otmar Issing
• 14. The View from Central Banks in Emerging Markets by Guillermo Ortiz
• 15. A View from the Financial Markets by John P. Lipsky APPENDIX The Pursuit of Policy Rules: A Conversation between Robert Leeson and John B. Taylor About the Contributing Authors Index.
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Twenty years ago, John Taylor proposed a simple idea to guide monetary policy. Quickly the idea spread, not only through academia, but also to the trading floors of Wall Street and the Federal Reserve's boardroom in Washington. Now, two decades later, the Taylor rule remains a focal point for discussions of monetary policy around the world. In The Taylor Rule and the Transformation of Monetary Policy, a veritable contributors' ""who's who"" from the academic and policy communities explain and provide perspectives on John Taylor's revolutionary thinking about monetary policy. From the Great Inflation of the 1970s through the Great Moderation of the 1980s and 1990s to the Great Deviation following the 2001 recession, the contributors analyse Taylor's influences on monetary theory and policy around the world. They explore some of the literature that Taylor inspired and help us understand how the new ways of thinking that he pioneered have influenced actual policy here and abroad.
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• Opening remarks / Ben S. Bernanke
• After the fall / Carmen M. Reinhart
• Monetary policy and stock market booms / Lawrence J. Christiano
• Modeling inflation after the crisis / James H. Stock, Mark W. Watson
• Central banking in uncertain times: conviction and responsibility / Jean-Claude Trichet
• Monetary policy after the fall / Charles R. Bean
• Monetary science, fiscal alchemy / Eric M. Leeper
• Reconsidering the international monetary system / John Lipsky
• Expanding gross asset positions and the international monetary system / Maurice Obstfeld
• The international monetary system: too big to fail / Umayya S. Toukan.

• The institutional framework of the single monetary policy
• The economic and financial structure of the Euro area
• The ECB's monetary policy strategy
• Monetary policy implementation
• The conduct of monetary policy since 1999.

• The huge U.C. trade deficit with China : a trigger point
• Appreciation is not a solution
• Massive capital inflow-an internal pressure for revaluation
• The need to reform China's exchange rate regime
• Options of currency revaluation.

• Unemployment versus inflation? An evaluation of the Phillips Curve / Milton Friedman
• Counter-revolution in monetary theory / Milton Friedman
• The constitutional position of the central bank / Charles A.E. Goodhart, 2003.

There are at least three requirements for an economy to maintain stable prices. Policy markers and opinion formers must understand that inflation brings no medium or long-term economic benefit; the causes of inflation - monetary growth - must be also be understood; and there needs to be a stable and credible institutional structure that will deliver a sound monetary policy. This book brings together two classic IEA papers by Nobel Prize winner Milton Friedman with a new work by Charles Goodhart who is a Bank of England Advisor and former member of the Monetary Policy Committee. In doing so, "Money, Inflation and the Constitutional Position of the Central Bank" provides a thorough yet accessible text appropriate for anybody who wants to understand inflation and how it should be controlled. Friedman's paper, 'Unemployment Versus Inflation?' is a lucid explanation of why higher inflation does not lead to lower unemployment, and his 'The Counter-Revolution in Monetary Theory', the first Wincott lecture, explains why excess monetary growth is the only cause of sustained inflation. Goodhart's paper 'The Constitutional Position of the Central Bank' was the 32nd Wincott Memorial Lecture. It explains how the Institutional arrangements for central banks should be developed to deliver stable prices and, importantly, to influence inflation expectations. Professor Geoffrey Wood sets the historical perspective in his introduction and also links the work of Goodhart and Friedman to the current thinking of the new Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King.
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