This series includes technical reports prepared by faculty, students and staff who are associated with the John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center at Stanford University. While the primary focus of Blume Center is earthquake engineering, many of the reports in this series encompass broader topics in structural engineering and materials, computational mechanics, geomechanics, structural health monitoring, and engineering life-cycle risk assessment. Each report includes acknowledgments of the specific sponsors for the report and underlying research. In addition to providing research support, the Blume Center provides administrative support for maintaining and disseminating the technical reports. For more information about the Blume Center and its activities, see https://blume.stanford.edu.
Predictions of structural behavior under earthquake loading are uncertain, and structural failures resulting in considerable damage and loss frequently occur because of these loadings and inadequate seismic structural resistance.
In view of the uncertainties associated with both earthquakes and structural behavior, probabilistic rather than deterministic approaches appear to be more appropriate in seismic structural design.
The basic objective of this report is to develop a methodology for earthquake-resistant structural design based on statistical decision theory concepts. As discussed later, appropriate quantification of the uncertainties described above and an optimization process to determine the most efficient alternative for earthquake-resistant structural design are necessary components of the methodology.
Dalal, JS. (1975). Probabilistic Seismic Exposure and Structural Risk Evaluation. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center Technical Report 15. Stanford Digital Repository. Available at: http://purl.stanford.edu/qw096rx8592
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